June 22, 2006
World's Largest Solar Plant Planned in Bay
Area
by Paul Rogers, Mercury News
Palo Alto, California [Mercury News]
A Palo Alto company has decided to build the
world's
largest factory for making solar power cells in the Bay Area -- a move
that
would nearly triple the nation's solar manufacturing capacity and give a
significant boost to a growing source of clean energy.
"The real innovation is that we're trying to
move the
photovoltaics industry from the economics of the semiconductor business
to the
economics of the printing business."
-- Erik Straser, a general
partner
in MDV-Mohr Davidow Ventures of Menlo Park, one of the venture capital
firms
that is funding Nanosolar
Nanosolar, a privately held company founded in
2001 with
seed money from Google founders Larry Page and Sergey Brin, is scheduled
to make
the announcement Wednesday, and in the next two to six weeks will select
either
San Jose, Santa Clara or San Francisco for the facility.
At
capacity, the
factory could turn out enough solar cells each year to generate 430
megawatts of
electricity, said Nanosolar CEO Martin Roscheisen. That's enough
electricity to
power about 325,000 homes. By comparison, all solar manufacturing plants
in the
United States combined currently produce enough cells each year to
generate 153
megawatts.
Backers of solar power said the project is the latest
example
of how demand for solar is rapidly expanding, and how the technology,
once the
realm of hippies and back-to-the-land advocates, has become a hot
commodity
among some of the same Silicon Valley engineers and venture capitalists
who made
a fortune in the 1990s during the Internet boom.
"This is a
spectacular
announcement,'' said Rhone Resch, president of the Solar Energy
Industries
Association, in Washington, DC.
"This is a very important step
for us to
address the energy crisis we face in this country. We cannot drill our
way out
or mine our way out, but we can manufacture our way out.''
Roscheisen
said he will open the new factory, which will employ several hundred
people, by
the end of 2006, and expects to begin producing a type of paper-thin,
flexible
solar cell in 2007. Two weeks ago, he met with San Jose Mayor Ron
Gonzales to
discuss possible locations.
David Vossbrink, a spokesman for the
city,
said San Jose is willing to streamline permits and reduce building fees
for the
company, but has not offered cash incentives. It was unclear Tuesday
what
incentives, if any, San Francisco and Santa Clara might offer.
The
cells,
each several inches across, will be assembled at first into solar panels
in
Germany, one of the world's biggest markets for solar power, Roscheisen
said.
Eventually, the panels will be shaped to fit archways, columns and other
parts
of buildings. The company has arrangements to sell the panels for use on
the
rooftops of large buildings, on homes and as stand-alone power plants,
he
said.
"This is a good space right now,'' said Roscheisen, 37, who
holds a
doctorate in engineering from Stanford University, and who sold his
Internet
company eGroups to Yahoo for $432 million in 2000.
"The market is
very,
very large. The technology is very complex. Once you figure out the
technology,
there are real opportunities.''
Globally, the solar industry
totaled
$11.2 billion in 2005 -- up 55 percent from a year earlier. It is
projected to
reach $51 billion by 2015, according data compiled by Clean Edge, a
business
research firm based in Oakland.
The U.S. has lagged Japan and
Europe in
solar production, and is now a distant third, with about 10 percent of
the
global market. The new plant would move the U.S. to second place, behind
Japan.
High oil and natural gas prices, along with concerns over
global
warming, are driving demand, said Ron Pernick, a spokesman for Clean
Edge.
"Solar has been expanding at growth rates more akin to the
personal
computer industry than the energy industry,'' Pernick said. "There is a
real
ramping up of manufacturing and output. This is a big coup for the Bay
Area.''
Pernick noted, however, that a key question will be how
fast
Nanosolar can ramp up to full capacity to run the world's largest solar
factory.
Currently the world's largest solar factories are in Japan, run by Sharp
and
Kyocera.
"It's one thing to announce your output target, and it
is
another to bring it online,'' he said. "But if they can deliver on that,
they
are going to be one of the first to deliver a mass-produced thin film at
competitive prices.''
About 90 percent of the world's solar
energy comes
from solar panels made of cells containing silicon crystals. Simply put,
sunlight hits a silicon cell, exciting electrons and creating an
electric
current.
Demand is so high that there is a shortage worldwide in
the kind
of refined silicon that solar panels are made of.
But Nanosolar
and other
companies, such as Miasole, a privately held San Jose firm, have
discarded
silicon as their semiconductor material. Instead, they are working on
mass-producing a complicated new technology: printing photovoltaic cells
onto
flexible plastic and foil, using a copper alloy that absorbs light and
creates
electricity.
The goal is to dramatically bring down costs, which
have
been the main stumbling block for expanding solar.
Nanosolar has
been
working on prototypes for four years. Roscheisen said Nanosolar's cells
are now
as efficient as traditional silicon cells, and can be manufactured at
one-fifth
the cost. However, its thin-film technology is not available for sale
yet.
"This company is much more similar to printing a newspaper
than
making computer chips. We start with a giant roll of foil and print on
it and
cut it up,'' said Erik Straser, a general partner in MDV-Mohr Davidow
Ventures
of Menlo Park, one of the venture capital firms that is funding
Nanosolar. The
company has raised $100 million to date.
"The real innovation is
that
we're trying to move the photovoltaics industry from the economics of
the
semiconductor business to the economics of the printing business,''
Straser
said.
Solar also is at the center of other Silicon Valley
efforts. Last
November, SunPower, a San Jose spin-off of Cypress Semiconductor, went
public in
one of the more successful technology IPOs of the year. The company's
stock was
offered at $18 and trades now at $27.
Roscheisen said Nanosolar
decided
to open a factory in the Bay Area, rather than in China or another
developing
nation, because being close to its R&D center in Palo Alto was
important,
and because labor costs are a relatively small part of the overall
operation
since so much is automated.
"I can't even remember the last time a
major
manufacturing facility opened here,'' said Carl Guardino, president and
CEO of
the Silicon Valley Leadership Group. "We would probably have to go back
to the
time of polyester suits and much wider ties.''
Environmentalists
also
were encouraged.
"Cleaning up the environment can be an economic
opportunity,'' said Carl Pope, national executive director of the Sierra
Club,
in San Francisco. "We are going to need these kind of breakthroughs. It
is
wonderful that Silicon Valley is taking the lead and that it is
happening
here.''
This article was originally published by the San
Jose-based
Mercury News and reprinted here with permission from the publisher,
Knight
Ridder. For the Mercury News, see the following link.
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Reader Comments (8)
Adrian Akau
June 24, 2006
The lower the efficiency, the greater the surface area needed for a given power and then more panels would be needed. Connection expenses and cell support (backing) costs (the modules are paper thin) also have to be added.
adrianakau@aol.com
adrianakau@aol.com
michael taylor
June 25, 2006
Richard Molby
June 25, 2006
Chris Nelder
June 26, 2006
Terence
June 28, 2006
peter segaar
June 30, 2006
http://www.solar-fabrik.com/index.php?id=27
I am delighted that U.S.A. is picking up the solar PV track and doing it with thorough means.
One aspect escapes me: life expectancy of the cited technology. "Paper thin" is good for resource efficiency, but may be a wild card when applied to buildings with extreme environmental constraints: extreme heat in summer, extreme cold in winter (especially in continental climates), hail, snow ballast, water, and, especially, the extreme fluctuations between these conditions in many "typical" climates in countries where these techniques will be applied in first instance.
Lots of succes, but remember that each technology has its drawbacks. Don't let these frighten you away from another promising development in one of the most sustainable energy technologies of the day: solar it must be, and solar it will be.
Christian Antal
July 3, 2006
Vik
April 6, 2007
If we cut down the panel price to 1/10 , it means $0.4 watt per. Let assume company makes 100% profit, even then it will take nanosolar to cell (100 Million/0.4) 250 Mega Watts of panels to recover just the invetment cost ??
I think the price of panels may go down by 50% at most.
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